Lithuania is a relatively new democracy with the first parliamentary elections being held in 2000. The system is a mixed system, or a second tier system, combining elements of both single-member district plurality systems (SMDP) and proportional representation systems (PR). In the case of Lithuania, Duverger's Law seems to apply as the proportional representation side of the system leads to a high number of parties and effective parties in Lithuania.
Using
the formula Neff = 1/∑(p2), where p is the
proportion obtained by a particular party in a given election, I determined the
effective number of parties in Lithuania. Using the number of seats obtained by
a party in 2012, I found Lithuania to have 5.29 effective parties (Elections
2012).
Lithuania
has a complex set of electoral rules that combine both the SMDP and PR systems.
For parliamentary elections, 71 members of parliament are elected in
single-member districts by an absolute majority vote (Lithuania Electoral,
2012). The direct magnitude for the state is 1, with one representative being
elected per district. This rule holds true if 40 percent of registered voters
turn out. If less than 40 percent participate in the election, the winner must
have at least 20 percent of the votes (Lithuania Country, 2012). This aspect of
the electoral rules is very much based on SMDP principles.
In
addition to the SMDP system, there are 70 members of parliament that are
elected on a proportional representation system. For this election the country
as a whole forms one constituency (Lithuania Electoral, 2012). These seats are
distributed through an open-list proportional representation system (Lithuania
Country, 2012).The list system is administered using “simple quotient and
greatest remainders rules” (Lithuania Electoral, 2012). Each party receives a
certain number of seats, as determined by the proportion of the vote they
received, and those with the most votes on that party list receive preferential
admission to the parliament. There is no threshold that stipulates a certain
percentage of the vote that must be obtained by a party to gain seats; any
party with a high enough percentage to qualify under the formulas mentioned
above has the ability to gain seats. In 2012 parties with as little as 3
percent of the vote received parliamentary seats (Elections 2012).
Duverger’s
law holds true in Lithuania. The number of parties and effective parties in
Lithuania is high because of the nature of the system. As a partly
proportionally representative system the state tends to encourage a number of
parties to gain power and participate in the democratic process. This shows
that the effective number of parties is indeed a function of the electoral
rules.
REFERENCES
Elections in
Lithuania. (2012). Wikipedia. Retrieved November 2 from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elections_in_Lithuania.
Lithuania Electoral
System. (2012). Lithuania. Inter-Parliamentary Union Parline Database. Retrieved
November 2 from http://www.ipu.org/parline-e/reports/2189_B.htm.
Lithuania
Country Profile. (2012). Election Guide. Consortium for Elections and Political
Process Strengthening. Retrieved November
2 from http://electionguide.org/country.php?ID=125.
Great job! I thought it was interesting that Lithuania could have kind of a hybrid of both SMDP and PR. How absolutely wonderful!
ReplyDeleteIt's interesting how in almost every aspect of political theory and the topics that we have studied thus far, a blend of the two opposing theories seems to work. It seems to hold true here in this case as well.
ReplyDeleteWow, I think hybrid systems are really intriguing. Seems like that could be a good idea for allowing more minority parties to be heard. From what I am reading, it doesn't seem like there is a big efficiency drop for countries with hybrid or PR systems.
ReplyDelete