Friday, November 2, 2012

Duverger's Law in Italy- Howlett


Kennan Howlett
11/1/12
Blog Post 7
Duverger’s Law in Italy

            A prime example of Duverger’s Law is clearly demonstrated in Italy. The law states that electoral rules determine the number of effective parties in any electoral district.[i] Democracies tend to use certain types of electoral systems, the single-member district plurality, which promotes two large parties, and the proportional representation system, which allows for a larger number of effective parties.[ii] Italy has a proportional representation system. This means that Italy’s political parties’ representation in the legislative body, in this case the Chamber of Deputies[iii], is set proportional to their strength in the voting population[iv]. Duverger’s mathematic equation shows that Italy has more than two effective parties, which is also depicted in Italy’s electoral rules.
            Italy has a proportional voting system with a parliamentary government. Parliament is bicameral with the Chamber of Deputies (lower house), and the Senate of the Republic (upper house). The Chamber of Deputies divides Italy into 26 constituencies with a total of 630 seats[v]. Each region in Italy gets between 1-3 constituencies, the number of seats or magnitude allotted to each electoral district is determined by the proportion of the district’s population as compared to all of Italy’s population. The formula Italy uses to disperse seats is a type of proportional representation party list called Imperiali Quota which calculates the minimum number of votes required to win a seat. Candidates on the lists are placed in order of priority (preferential structure) so that the most desired ones get seats in parliament. Italy has large coalitions between parties to ensure the larger portions of society get their voices heard, even if it must be through coalitions. There are specific thresholds in Italy for both parties and coalitions. There must be a minimum of 2% of the national vote for any party within a coalition, a minimum of 4% for any party not in a coalition, and a minimum of 10% for a coalition.[vi]
            To test Duverger’s Law in Italy, I used his equation Neff=1/∑(p2). I took the sum of the percentages of seats won by each party squared, and divided that number by one. Seven total parties and the category of ‘other parties’ were used and after my calculations I found that there were approximately three effective parties in Italy, which agrees with Duverger’s law. This also makes sense because Italy has a number of social cleavages with immigration issues, economic disparity, and the dichotomy between the north and the south. Proportional representation is usually the resulting system in democracies with such social cleavages. With a proportional representation system, Italy has three effective parties, so based off my findings from Italy, I would concur with Duverger in saying that the effective number of parties greatly depends on the electoral rules


[i] Wikipedia. Italian Parliament. Electoral System. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Parliament_of_Italy#.
Accessed November 1, 2012.

[ii] Shively, W. Phillips. Power and Choice: An Introduction to Political Science (New York: McGraw-Hill,
2012), 230-236.
[iii] Inter-Parliamentary Union. Italy. PARLINE database. http://www.ipu.org/parline-e/reports/2255_E.htm.
Accessed November 1, 2012.

[iv] Shively, W. Phillips. Power and Choice: An Introduction to Political Science (New York: McGraw-Hill,
2012), 230-236.
[v] Inter-Parliamentary Union. Italy. PARLINE database. http://www.ipu.org/parline-e/reports/2255_E.htm.
Accessed November 1, 2012.

[vi] Wikipedia. Italian Parliament. Electoral System. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Parliament_of_Italy#.
Accessed November 1, 2012.

5 comments:

  1. It was interesting to see how Italy worked. I've always been somewhat interested in Italian government, so to read a bit about the Italian electoral system was nice.

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  2. I was also interested to see how Italy's electoral system was set up. I was particularly interested in the way that Italy's threshold is different regarding individual parties and coalitions. The 2% threshold for parties within a coalition seems to suggest that Italy wants to promote the formation of coalitions between parties.

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  3. Very similar to Denmark. I wonder what would happen if the US followed a system like these European countries.

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  4. It's interesting to see that many systems of government in Europe are very similar to each other; Italy seems to hold to this rule as well.

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