In various states
around the world the number of political parties present is usually a
result of many different factors. Political scientists claim that
one such factor is the electoral rules, and they call its effect on
the number of parties Duverger's law. It essentially states that a
single member district plurality system (SMDP) results in two strong
parties while a proportional representation system (PR) results in
more than two parties. In order to test this claim, I researched
Israel and its electoral rules.
To
begin my search, I started by calculating the total number of
effective parties for Israel. Israel had 12 parties in the last
election (Wikipedia
), but not all of them were
effective or significant. After running through the calculations, I
found that Israel has 6.788 effective parties. What this means is
that there is almost 7 parties in Israel that win seats and are
considered main competitors. After I had calculated the total number
of effective parties, I then continued on to research the electoral
rules in Israel to see if Duverger's law holds true.
As I
researched the electoral rules in Israel, I looked to see what the
system type was, and as it turns out, it was proportional
representation (INTER-PARLIAMENTARY
UNION ). A
proportional representation system means that the number of votes
received by a party are turned into a percentage of the total, and
the party is then awarded the same percentage of seats. So far this
seems to support what Duverger's law claims, since there are 6.788
effective parties. Other factors, however, do play a role here. For
example, the district magnitudes effect how seats are awarded. In
Israel's cause it is fairly simple, it only has one district with 120
seats up for grabs (INTER-PARLIAMENTARY
UNION ).
Another
factor that plays into electoral rules is the set up of the list. In
a proportional representation system a list is presented in which
voters either vote for the party list, or they can choose to vote for
individuals on the said lists. The list is usually set by the party
leaders though, and voters just vote for the party they want. In
Israel's cause the list is nonpreferential (INTER-PARLIAMENTARY
UNION ), or in other
words the voters just vote for the party, not individuals.
Once
all the votes are tallied up, and seats begin to be awarded, there
are several methods you can do the awarding. As for Israel, they use
the d'Hondt method (INTER-PARLIAMENTARY
UNION ). In
addition to the d”Hondt method, Israel has a threshold at 2 percent
of the votes (INTER-PARLIAMENTARY
UNION ). What
this means is that in order for a party to count in the election and
win any number of seats, it must have at least 2 percent of the
votes. As mentioned earlier, Israel had 12 parties that won seats,
but the actually number of parties that tried to win seats was 33
(Wikipedia
). 21 of these parties, however,
did not meet this 2 percent threshold. While researching, I also
could not find anything to support that Israel has a hybrid system,
so I concluded that id does not.
In the case of
Israel, it does indeed support Duverger's law. Israel has 6.788
effective parties, and it is a PR system. As for its electoral
rules, Israel is a proportional representation system with one
district of 120 seats and a nonpreferential list. Israel uses the
d'Hondt method to award seats, it is not a hybrid, and it has a 2
percent threshold.
Citations
. "Elections in
Israel." Wikipedia. N.p.. Web. 2 Nov 2012.
<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elections_in_Israel>.
. "ISRAEL Knesset
(Parliament)." INTER-PARLIAMENTARY UNION. N.p.. Web. 2
Nov 2012. <http://www.ipu.org/parline-e/reports/2155_B.htm>.
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